Friday, March 28, 2014
Market views and news (updated)
Chinese importers of soybeans and rubber are backing out of deals, adding to a wide range of evidence showing rising financial stress in the world's second-biggest economy.
...............
Moody's sees crude palm oil prices to average US$700 to US$800 per tonne this ...; The Malaysian Insider - Mar 24, 2014; http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/business/article/moodys-sees-crude-palm-oil-prices-to-average-us700-to-us800-per-tonne-this; Crude palm oil prices are expected to hover around US$700 range thanks to food-based usage and demand for biodiesel. - The Malaysian Insider pic, March 24, 2014Moody's Investors Service expects crude palm oil (CPO) prices to average between ...
Mistry Bullish on Palm Oil as El Nino Threatens to Parch Trees; Businessweek By Ranjeetha Pakiam March 21, 2014 ; http://www.businessweek.com/news/2014-03-21/mistry-bullish-on-palm-oil-as-el-nino-threatens-to-parch-trees; Palm oil may extend its advance in April to the highest level since 2012 after dry weather in ... The southwest monsoon in India is likely to be impacted....
CPO Exports Seen to Rise 10% to $22 Billion in 2014;Jakarta Globe By Investor Daily on 01:25 pm Mar 19, 2014; http://www.thejakartaglobe.com/business/cpo-exports-seen-rise-10-22-billion-2014/ ;
Jakarta. The Indonesian Palm Oil Association (GAPKI) predicts that 2014 exports of crude palm oil are set to reach $22 billion, up 10 percent from last ...
Palm Production in Indonesia Rising for First Time in 6 Months; Jakarta Globe By Yoga Rusmana on 09:17 am Mar 21, 2014; http://www.thejakartaglobe.com/business/palm-production-indonesia-rising-first-time-6-months/; The percentage change for exports is derived from the February figure from the Indonesian Palm Oil Association, known as Gapki. Comparisons for ...
Consumers Pinched as Palm Oil, Soybean Prices Rise; Wall Street Journal By Isabella Steger, Debi Nayak and Huileng Tan March 14, 2014 5:26 a.m. ET; http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702304914904579438610824940936?mg=reno64-wsj ; Palm oil in China is now more expensive than soy oil, the most commonly used cooking oil, which is an unusual development, said Jane Peng, ...
Agriculture Prices Hold Up Despite China Jitters; Wall Street Journal (blog); http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2014/03/19/auto-draft-17/; Fears over China's slowing growth so far in 2014 have hurt prices for ... Dry weather in Brazil and Southeast Asia has hurt supply of palm oil, as has ...
Crude palm oil may rise to RM3,177, says Oil World; The Star Online - Mar 4, 2014; http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2014/03/05/Crude-palm-oil-may-rise-to-RM3177-says-Oil-World/; KUALA LUMPUR: Riding on the current rally in crude palm oil (CPO) prices, CPO could average at the RM3,177 level a tonne this year, 14% higher than 2013's average.
............
Energy
US expands gas exports in bid to punish Putin for Crimea; theguardian.com, Tuesday 25 March 2014; http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/mar/25/us-expands-gas-exports-in-bid-to-punish-putin-for-crimea; One of the most advanced U.S. LNG export projects, Cameron LNG--a project in which GDF SUEZ holds an ownership share--has received conditional non-Free Trade Agreement approval from the U.S. Department of Energy. Senate energy committee told exporting natural gas would end Russia’s 'energy blackmail'
On Malaysia politics & MH370 (update2)
.....................
Why Malaysia Will Say Almost Nothing About the Missing Plane. Malaysia's dearth of communication about Flight MH370 isn't surprising given its governing coalition's habitual disinterest toward the press and lack of transparency; http://newsletters.businessweek.com/c/1168803/60398984a45ac407/33
Malaysia’s Crisis Hurts Najib Heir-Apparent as Criticism Swells; By Sharon Chen and Manirajan Ramasamy Mar 26, 2014; http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-03-25/malaysia-s-crisis-hurts-najib-heir-apparent-as-criticism-swells.html; ... Malaysia’s handling of the search for missing Flight 370 has turned the official groomed to become the country’s next prime minister into a lightning rod for criticism, hurting his chances to lead the nation. Hishammuddin Hussein, the defense and acting transport minister, has led almost all daily press conferences held since the Malaysian Air plane dropped off air-traffic controllers’ screens March 8. The relation of three prime ministers and the grandson of the ruling party’s founder has stoked ire among passengers' families and China's government with his self-contradictions and failure to provide definitive answers.... Razali Ibrahim, deputy minister in the Prime Minister’s Department and an UMNO supreme council member, said “we are very pleased” with the way Hishammuddin is handling this crisis. Based on feedback from party members, “they strongly believe Hishammuddin is managing his task well, in a very professional way, despite under tough circumstances,” he said.
....................
31 March, background information - MAS share price chart (5 years), from Bloomberg.com
Tuesday, March 25, 2014
Contesting regulations
It also doesn't protect peat in existing concessions or mandate better water management in areas already converted for oil palm and timber plantations ...
Sugar news and views
Sugar producer MSM Malaysia Holdings Bhd (MSM) is actively seeking out merger and acquisition opportunities around the globe in line with its expansion plans, according to newly-appointed president and group chief executive officer ...
Growing El Nino threat rattles sugar market nerves; Agrimoney.com; 26 March 2014; http://www.agrimoney.com/news/growing-el-nino-threat-rattles-sugar-market-nerves--6913.html
Australia upgraded the likelihood of an El Nino setting in this year as the sugar investors in particular raised concerns over the weather pattern, for the threat it poses to production in Asia and Brazil.
Government's pre-poll sugar sop questioned at WTO; Times of India; 26 March 2014; http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/Governments-pre-poll-sugar-sop-questioned-at-WTO/articleshow/32700176.cms
NEW DELHI: The government's pre-election bonanza for the sugar industry has been questioned at the World Trade Organization (WTO), making it the second farm subsidy to face global scrutiny in recent months.
Reality of zoos
Key Asia voices for sustainability
Plantation sector - company news updates
Bumitama Agri Ltd has successfully priced and issued its inaugural RM500mil five-year sukuk issuance under its maiden sukuk ...
CBIP secures RM46m oil mill project in PNG; The Star Online Updated: Monday March 17, 2014 MYT 6:34:54 PM ; http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2014/03/17/CBIP-secures-RM46m-oil-mill-project-in-PNG/; KUALA LUMPUR: CB Industrial Product Holding Bhd has secured a RM46.01mil contract to build a palm oil mill in Papua New Guinea. It said on ...It said on Monday its unit Modipalm Engineering Sdn. Bhd has received the cotract from from Gilford Ltd, a subsidiary of Rimbunan Hijau (PNG) Group.
CIMB Research sees potential earnings boost from FGV M&A plans; The Star Online Published: Wednesday March 19, 2014 MYT 8:45:00 AM; http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Investing/2014/03/19/CIMB-Research-sees-potential-earnings-boost-from-FGV-plans/ ; KUALA LUMPUR: CIMB Equities Research continues to advise investors to hang on to their Felda Global Ventures (FGV) shares and ride on the ...
EPF takes contrarian route cutting stakes in plantations in bullish times; The Star Online 17 March 2014; http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2014/03/17/EPF-takes-different-route-It-cuts-stakes-in-plantation-players-in-bullish-times/ ; The fund was also a seller in another big planter, Kuala Lumpur-Kepong Bhd, as it reduced its shares in the Ipoh-based company from 15.8% to ...
Monday, March 24, 2014
Commodity markets and prices links
World Bank: http://econ.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/EXTDEC/EXTDECPROSPECTS/0,,contentMDK:21574907~menuPK:7859231~pagePK:64165401~piPK:64165026~theSitePK:476883,00.html
IndexMundi: http://www.indexmundi.com/commodities/?commodity=agricultural-raw-materials-price-index&months=360
Rubber consultant: http://www.therubbereconomist.com/The_Rubber_Economist/Home.html
Forests: http://www.cifor.org/
Sunday, March 23, 2014
Big energy's climate strategy & clean power
Saturday, March 22, 2014
Unhealthy food and wrong messages?
Could eating too much margarine be bad for your critical faculties? The "experts" who so confidently advised us to replace saturated fats, such as butter, with polyunsaturated spreads, people who presumably practise what they preach, have suddenly come over all uncertain and seem to be struggling through a mental fog to reformulate their script.... Last week it fell to a floundering professor, Jeremy Pearson, from the British Heart Foundation to explain why it still adheres to the nutrition establishment's anti-saturated fat doctrine when evidence is stacking up to refute it. After examining 72 academic studies involving more than 600,000 participants, the study, funded by the foundation, found that saturated fat consumption was not associated with coronary disease risk. This assessment echoed a review in 2010 that concluded "there is no convincing evidence that saturated fat causes heart disease". The Observer, Sunday 23 March 2014; http://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/2014/mar/23/everything-you-know-about-unhealthy-foods-is-wrong
SE Asian peatsmog haze
Indonesia's forest fires feed 'brown cloud' of pollution choking Asia's cities; An acrid blanket of haze is hanging over the cities of south-east Asia, where 700,000 people a year die prematurely from the effects of air pollution. Industry and climate change are being blamed, but governments are slow to act; The Observer, Saturday 22 March 2014 http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/mar/23/indonesia-forest-fires-pollution-asia
Thursday, March 20, 2014
Oil price worries
Wednesday, March 19, 2014
Agriculture in Africa
theguardian.com, Wednesday 19 March 2014; http://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2014/mar/19/women-closing-gender-divide-african-farming-reduce-hunger
Food mislabelling
Omega 3 hokum?
Eating food high in fish oils such as omega-3 doesn’t reduce the risk of heart disease, raising questions about national guidelines promoting the fats as beneficial for cardiovascular health, researchers found. ... The analysis of 72 previous studies showed insufficient support for nutritional recommendations by groups such as the American Heart Association that advocate high consumption of polyunsaturated fats like omega-3 and omega-6, which is found in corn and sunflower oils, as well as some nuts and seeds....; http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-03-17/foods-rich-in-omega-3-may-not-protect-heart-study-finds.html
Lobster galore
Commodity trading rationalisation
Tuesday, March 18, 2014
Price worries
Wsj.com. The Price Is Tight; "I can't believe how much milk is. Chicken is crazy right now, and beef—I paid $5 a pound for beef!" noted a married mother of three in Waukesha, Wis. Our story looks at the surging prices of food staples that are driving up the cost of groceries in the U.S. and pinching Americans still grappling with a sluggish economic recovery. The price increases pose a challenge for food makers, restaurants and retailers, which are left in the difficult position of deciding how much of the costs they can pass onto the consumer. We note that price increases are also taking a toll on consumers in some emerging markets, and we consider the implications by reflecting on history. In 2008, for example, a spike in food prices caused riots from Haiti to sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia, and more recently, increasing food prices were a factor behind the Arab Spring protests. http://m.us.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052702303287804579445311778530606?mod=djem10point&mobile=y
Sunday, March 16, 2014
Olam takeover by Temasek
Singapore Business Times on 18 March 2014 reported that "market talk revealed that there have been at least three separate parties interested in acquiring Olam during the same period, potentially pushing up its share price as well..... Sime Darby, one of the largest palm oil producers in the world, is said to be one of them. Two Japanese trading companies are also said to be interested in Olam due to its exposure to African markets...." newslink: http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/premium/companies/others/moodys-olam-bid-temasek-credit-negative-20140318
Iskandar Malaysia and Singapore-Johor integration
Big plantations
The Hindu; How oil palm could kill orangutans; The Hindu; In December last year, agribusiness heavyweight, Wilmar, also agreed to an equivalent policy. Adani Wilmar, a joint venture of the Adani Group with ...
Market views
On palm oil certification & ngo campaigns
Progressive palm oil group opens door to companies, NGO's adopting zero deforestation policies; Mongabay.com; The Palm Oil Innovation Group (POIG), an alliance formed last year, has ... Palm Oil — and four non-profits: WWF, Rainforest Action Network (RAN), ...
San Francisco Chronicle; Greenpeace Targets P&G Over Its Role in Ongoing Palm Oil Controversy; brandchannel.com; Palm oil, common in detergents, shampoos, cosmetics and a myriad of ... India and China, together consuming one-third of global palm oil imports, are ...
Free Malaysia Today; Oil palm refiner Wilmar caves in to political pressure
Free Malaysia Today; The biggest importers of Malaysian palm oil are China, India, Pakistan, the ... Last month Sarawak Oil Palm Plantation Owners Association (Soppoa) ...
FoodNavigator.com; Mars commits to palm oil deforestation policy; FoodNavigator.com; The company also announced that it had joined The Forest Trust (TFT) to help in its aim to prevent deforestation. Since 2010, the company has bought ...
GreenBiz.com (blog); How Golden Agri could help make half of all palm oil sustainable; GreenBiz.com (blog); Late in February Golden Agri Resources (GAR) which produces an estimated five per cent of the world's palm oil, made a significant announcement in ...
Standard for sustainability; The Star Online; According to MPOB Deputy Director-General (Research & Development) Dr Ahmad Kushairi Din, the MSPO will be transparent for the benefits of ...
Greenpeace - global force with deep pockets; Cincinnati.com; By using zip lines to hang banners protesting the use of palm oil on the sides of P&G's iconic twin towers Downtown, Greenpeace International ...
Photos: Greenpeace stages protest in rainforest destroyed for palm oil; Mongabay.com; On Monday, Greenpeace activists in Indonesia staged a dramatic protest in an area of rainforest freshly cleared for a new oil palm plantation in Central ...
Got Science? Momentum Building for Deforestation-Free Palm Oil; Huffington Post; Two of the world's largest palm oil suppliers -- Wilmar and Golden ... regions such as Malaysia, Indonesia, as well as parts of Africa and Latin America. http://m.huffpost.com/us/entry/4943164
Saturday, March 15, 2014
China environmental issues
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-03-19/air-pollution-may-cause-genetic-harm-in-kids-china-study-finds.html
China working on uranium-free nuclear plants in attempt to combat smog; Beijing brings forward deadline for world's first thorium-fuelled facility in attempt to break reliance on fossil fuels; theguardian.com, Wednesday 19 March 2014; http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/mar/19/china-uranium-nuclear-plants-smog-thorium
On smallholder sustainable agriculture
Mars's Shayna Harris, a Sloan School of Management grad, is helping global farmers make cocoa a more sustainable-and profitable-crop; http://newsletters.businessweek.com/c/1168803/60398984a45ac407/42
Aregbesola Empowers 200 Women With N5.2 Million Through Qiip Programme; AllAfrica.com; Nigeria: Aregbesola Empowers 200 Women With N5.2 Million Through Qiip ... He said this is a pilot programme for women in palm-oil processing ...
Friday, March 14, 2014
Nasa-funded study: industrial civilisation headed for 'irreversible collapse'?
By investigating the human-nature dynamics of these past cases of collapse, the project identifies the most salient interrelated factors which explain civilisational decline, and which may help determine the risk of collapse today: namely, Population, Climate, Water, Agriculture, and Energy.
These factors can lead to collapse when they converge to generate two crucial social features: "the stretching of resources due to the strain placed on the ecological carrying capacity"; and "the economic stratification of society into Elites [rich] and Masses (or "Commoners") [poor]" These social phenomena have played "a central role in the character or in the process of the collapse," in all such cases over "the last five thousand years."...
Monbiot: Biodiesl incentives created "ecological disasters" and the same for biogas?
"It was also a brilliant idea to turn waste chip fat into biodiesel. But the incentives to produce biodiesel, often justified by the claim that they would make use of waste, have created multiple ecological disasters. They have encouraged farmers to feed cars rather than people and financed the conversion of rainforests in Indonesia, Malaysia and West Africa into oil palm plantations, driving orangutans and many other species to the brink of extinction. In most cases, biodiesel, as a result of the changes in land use, has much higher greenhouse gas emissions than the fossil fuel it replaces.....
Biogas is now going the same way. Provide the money to do the right thing and if you're not careful it will be used to do the wrong thing....Economic modelling commissioned by the government tested eight different mixes with which farmers could feed an anaerobic digester, to try to work out which were profitable. All of them included grass, wheat, maize or potatoes, and in some cases the models specified a higher tonnage of these specially grown crops than the waste the digesters are supposed to process. As maize has both a high yield per hectare and a high yield of biogas per tonne, it has become what the farming press calls the biogas "core crop". There could scarcely be a better formula for subverting everything biogas is supposed to achieve....The first and most obvious problem is that it means taking land out of food production. According to Farmers' Guardian, a biogas plant with a capacity of one megawatt, "requires 20,000-25,000 tonnes [of maize] a year, accounting for 450-500 hectares of land"....It reports that the area of maize being grown for biogas in the UK has trebled to 15,000 hectares in the past two years alone, and is likely to rise to 25,000 hectares next year. This is an astonishing rate of growth. If, as the National Farmers Union (NFU) advocates, 1,000 medium-sized biogas plants are built by 2020, and maize supplements the slurry and manure they process, that will mean the use of between 100,000 and 125,000 hectares...."
U.S. Court Declares Ecuador Judgment Against Chevron Corporation Fraudulent, Unenforceable
March 4, 2014 – The U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York today ruled that the $9.5 billion judgment against Chevron Corporation in Ecuador was the product of fraud and racketeering activity, finding it unenforceable... The nearly 500-page ruling finds that Steven Donziger, the lead American lawyer behind the Ecuadorian lawsuit against the company, violated the federal Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act (RICO), committing extortion, money laundering, wire fraud, Foreign Corrupt Practices Act violations, witness tampering and obstruction of justice in obtaining the Ecuadorian judgment and in trying to cover up his and his associates' crimes..."Today's decision is unequivocal: The Ecuadorian judgment against Chevron is a fraud and is the result of criminal acts by a handful of corrupt lawyers looking to enrich themselves," said Hewitt Pate, Chevron vice president and general counsel. "Chevron's reputation was taken hostage and held for a multibillion-dollar ransom. Rather than give in and pay these criminals off, Chevron exposed the truth. Chevron is pleased with today's judgment. We are confident that any court that respects the rule of law will likewise find the Ecuadorian judgment to be illegitimate and unenforceable."....